TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Tlaxcala and Correcaminos. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting different levels of scoring intensity in the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the Liga de Expansion MX or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at sportsbooks, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders directly bid and ask for contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total goals will be over a certain threshold, or sell contracts if they believe it will be under.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos match – will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or required to cover their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Tlaxcala or Correcaminos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to fluctuations in the price on Kalshi.