TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Urawa Red Diamonds
Volume:
$56,758
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Tōkyō Verdy and Urawa Red Diamonds scheduled for March 14, 2026. The group contains three related markets on Polymarket (Tōkyō Verdy win, draw, Urawa win) and three outcome-based markets on Kalshi (all three possible 90-minute results). Resolution depends on the final match score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and primary resolution source (official J-League statistics), with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics (jleague.jp) as recognized by the governing body; if not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by goals scored in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Tōkyō Verdy win, draw, or Urawa Red Diamonds win.
- Polymarket markets resolve Yes/No individually for each outcome; Kalshi markets each resolve Yes if that outcome occurs.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes on Polymarket; Kalshi structure implies no resolution occurs without a played match.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: markets require match completion for resolution; cancellation without makeup creates ambiguity in Kalshi's Yes/No structure.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties. Only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
- Source Delay: If official J-League statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics should be published within 2 hours; if not, resolution may be delayed pending credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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