TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Tōkyō Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tōkyō Verdy" if Tōkyō Verdy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Tōkyō Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tōkyō Verdy" if Tōkyō Verdy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action on both sides, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the prediction market, representing a potential arbitrage opportunity for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Tōkyō Verdy vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and widely accepted game data, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tōkyō Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability could trigger significant price movements. Furthermore, any major upsets in related matches or league standings might influence how traders assess the likelihood of each team scoring first.