TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fukuoka
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fukuoka?

Volume:
$160,359

Tokyo V

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo V

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,522
N/A
N/A
$24,260
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tōkyō Verdy

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Avispa

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,823
N/A
N/A
$21,458
Settled
No
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,163
N/A
N/A
$18,335
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fukuoka)

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Tōkyō Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka on October 24, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms; Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's resolution is unclear.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket markets offer a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi markets do not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore as fallbacks. Resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios, implying resolution based on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Tōkyō Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Tokyo V vs Avispa professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Tokyo V or Avispa markets occurs only if the respective team wins within regulation time; a 'Yes' for the Tie market occurs if the match concludes in a draw. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, markets will resolve at a fair price. All markets are independent and exclusively tied to the regulation-time result of this specific match.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the J1 League match. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $160,359, with $141,039 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different results for the Tōkyō Verdy versus Avispa Fukuoka game. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of predictions for this particular match. This is a useful tool for anyone interested in understanding the wisdom of the crowd regarding this event.

Prediction market odds, as reflected on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs, leading to a more accurate reflection of collective intelligence. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a Tōkyō Verdy win than a conventional sportsbook. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two types of markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the J1 League. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $160,359 – influences price discovery. These factors contribute to potentially different probabilities being assigned to the same outcome, even though both markets are ultimately tracking the same event: the result of the Tōkyō Verdy versus Avispa Fukuoka match.