TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Titled Tuesday Winner: October 20
polymarket

Who will win Titled Tuesday?

Volume:
$894

Hikaru Nakamura

 - Polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 6:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$375
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Tuomas Turunen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Aravindh Chithambaram

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Andrey Esipenko

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Alexander Grischuk

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Aleksandar Indjic

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Aleksandr Shimanov

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Benjamin Bok

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Bardiya Daneshvar

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Dmitry Andreikin

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

David Anton

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Dau Khuong Duy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Dincer Tasdogen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Fabiano Caruana

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Faustino Oro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
polymarket

Frederik Svane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 37m
No
Total markets: 25 of 75

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the probabilities shown on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome, or that the market has identified factors not fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison to see where different perspectives lie.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that player winning the Titled Tuesday event. Demand and supply dynamics dictate the price, with increased buying signifying greater confidence in a player’s chances. The current 24-hour volume is $376, indicating the level of recent trading activity. This continuous pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Titled Tuesday tournament on October 20th will determine the outcome of this market. The official results from the tournament organizers will be used to verify the winner. The market will then settle, and shares will pay out based on whether the outcome predicted by the share corresponds to the actual winner of the tournament.

Changes in player form or unexpected tournament results are key factors that could move this market. If a highly-rated player performs poorly in early rounds, their implied probability will likely decrease as traders adjust their expectations. Conversely, a strong showing from an underdog could lead to increased demand for their shares. The current market reflects pre-tournament expectations, and any deviations from those expectations will be quickly priced in. This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.