TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on determining the winner of a weekly chess competition scheduled for a specific date. Participants compete in a fast-paced format over multiple rounds, with the outcome depending solely on who claims the top position in the tournament.
Each market specifies that if the named player wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for October 6, 2026, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' If the player does not participate in the event, the market resolves to 'No.' The competition follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. All markets operate under these consistent terms, ensuring clarity regarding participation and outcome determination.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on information and analysis. If there is a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion about the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official winner of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament on that date. Resolution will be based on the publicly available results from the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds of the Titled Tuesday tournament, news regarding the form of key players, or even significant upsets could all shift trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a particular chess player winning will likely be reflected in the market prices. Major announcements related to player participation or tournament conditions could also cause volatility in this market.