TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 6
kalshi

Who will finish top 8 in Titled Tuesday?

Volume:
$6,292

Aleksei Sarana

 - Kalshi

Aleksei Sarana - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sina Movahed

100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alexander Grischuk

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pranesh Munirethinam

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
kalshi

Pranav Venkatesh

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Nihal Sarin

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Haik Martirosyan

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Hans Niemann

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Parham Maghsoodloo

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Javokhir Sindarov

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Martinez

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tobias Koelle

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This event tracks the performance of individual players in a weekly online chess tournament. Each market focuses on whether a specific participant achieves a top-eight finish in the competition, reflecting their competitive standing among other players.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes in the top eight positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for October 6, 2026. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the designated player does not participate in the event, the market automatically resolves to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Titled Tuesday competition tracks the current odds of each outcome, providing a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely winner. You can also view the price history, showing how the odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour volume, which indicates how much trading activity this market has seen recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $6,292 and the 24-hour volume is $1,000. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations.

Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk tolerance, or simply varying interpretations of the event’s potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Titled Tuesday competition. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Titled Tuesday competition, determining which competitor achieved the highest ranking. The final standings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding competitor form, recent performance in similar events, or unexpected announcements related to the competition could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by a particular competitor in preliminary rounds or qualifying matches would likely increase their odds. Conversely, any setbacks or injuries could decrease their chances. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of each outcome has the potential to move this market.