TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of various chess players in a weekly competition, resolving based on whether each specified participant finishes among the top eight positions in the tournament.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes in the top eight positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for October 13, 2026. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the designated player does not participate in the event, their respective market automatically resolves to 'No'. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more probable than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. Traders set the odds by placing bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Titled Tuesday competition, as reported by the event organizers. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The precise details of payout calculations are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected news regarding player form, changes in tournament strategy, or even significant announcements related to the competition could all shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by a particular player during qualifying rounds or early stages of the competition are likely to drive up the odds for their success. Any unforeseen circumstances affecting key participants could also cause substantial fluctuations in this market.