TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Titled Tuesday Top 5: October 20
polymarket

Will the player finish in the top 5?

Volume:
$178

Aleksei Sarana

 - Polymarket

Aleksei Sarana - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 3:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
Yes
polymarket

Sina Movahed

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
Yes
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
Yes
polymarket

Vladislav Artemiev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Aravindh Chithambaram

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Andrey Esipenko

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Alexander Grischuk

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Aleksandar Indjic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Aleksandr Shimanov

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Benjamin Bok

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Bardiya Daneshvar

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Dmitry Andreikin

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
Yes
polymarket

David Anton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Dau Khuong Duy

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Dincer Tasdogen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Fabiano Caruana

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Faustino Oro

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
polymarket

Frederik Svane

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 59m
No
Total markets: 25 of 66

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Titled Tuesday chess market provides a real-time view of trading activity. You’ll find the current odds reflecting the probability of each player finishing in the Top 5, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $122, and the total overall volume, which is $178. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and track interest in this particular event.

Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If prediction market probabilities significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament on October 20. Specifically, the market will determine which players finished within the Top 5 of the tournament. The outcome is determined by objective results from the event and will be assessed against publicly available data to ensure accuracy.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds of the Titled Tuesday tournament, news regarding the form of key players, or even shifts in overall chess community sentiment could all lead to price movements. Any significant upsets or surprising performances by competitors could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to increased volume and changing odds. Monitoring chess news and tournament updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact this market.