TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding nuanced factors or late-breaking news. However, sportsbooks may have more sophisticated models for certain aspects of the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived from different sources and methodologies, and this market may show a different view than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the group. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the overall sentiment of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which players finish in the top five of the tournament. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected strong or weak performances by key players in early rounds of the tournament would likely cause shifts in the odds. Any news regarding player health, preparation, or recent form could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from chess experts and commentators could sway the market as they offer their assessments of each player's chances. Changes in overall tournament dynamics or surprising upsets could also lead to substantial price adjustments in this market.