TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and aim to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess event are verifiable from credible public reporting. The top three finishers will be identified based on official tournament results, and the market will settle accordingly. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to determine the winners and ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Unexpected strong performances or upsets by particular chess players during the Titled Tuesday event would likely cause shifts in probabilities. News regarding player health, form, or any controversies surrounding the tournament could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant analysis or predictions from prominent chess commentators or analysts could sway market sentiment and lead to changes in the prices of shares representing different outcomes.