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Titled Tuesday Top 3: Oct 6
kalshi

Who will be in the Titled Tuesday Top 3?

Volume:
$2,783

Alexander Grischuk

 - Kalshi

Alexander Grischuk - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:55 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alexander Grischuk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$87
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Parham Maghsoodloo

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tobias Koelle

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Sevian

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Terry Lujan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthias Bluebaum

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nihal Sarin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nikolas Theodorou

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Le Tuan Minh

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This event tracks the performance of various chess players in a weekly competition, resolving based on whether each specified player secures a top-three finish in the blitz format Swiss tournament. The outcome hinges solely on the players' rankings at the conclusion of the event.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a specific player finishes in the top three positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for October 6, 2026. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the designated player achieves a top-three placement, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Should the player not participate in the event, the market automatically resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, and each player's performance is assessed singularly against the criteria of finishing within the top three, with no additional conditions or interdependencies between participants.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Titled Tuesday chess market tracks the current odds for each potential top 3 finisher, the price history of those odds over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $1,162 and total volume for this market is $2,783. This allows traders to see how sentiment is shifting and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the most likely outcomes lie in this competitive chess event.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities than traditional odds.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences between their beliefs and the market’s.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which three players achieved the highest rankings in the tournament. The resolution will be based on official tournament results and any tie-breaking procedures as defined by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts.

Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds of the Titled Tuesday tournament, news regarding the form or health of key players, and even significant shifts in public perception could all contribute to changes in the odds. Any upsets or surprising performances by less-favored competitors are likely to cause the market to re-evaluate the probabilities of each player finishing in the top three. Strong performances by a particular player could also drive up their contract prices.