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413,109

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Titled Tuesday Top 3: Oct 20
kalshi

Who will be in the Titled Tuesday Top 3?

Volume:
$2,793

Hikaru Nakamura

 - Kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:31 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sina Movahed

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
No
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Sevian

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Terry Lujan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthias Bluebaum

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nihal Sarin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nikolas Theodorou

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Le Tuan Minh

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This event tracks the performance of various chess players in a weekly competition, focusing on whether each specified participant achieves a top-three finish in a single tournament instance. The outcome depends solely on the player's ranking after all rounds of the event have concluded.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a specific player finishes in the top three positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for October 20, 2026. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the designated player does not participate in the event, the market automatically resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, with each player's performance judged solely against the criteria of their respective market. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Titled Tuesday competition tracks the current odds for each potential top 3 finisher, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $358 and the total volume traded to date of $2,792. You can also view the price history for each outcome, allowing you to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how the perceived probabilities are evolving as the event approaches. The dashboard is designed to give you a clear picture of the market's sentiment.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome in the Titled Tuesday competition.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Titled Tuesday competition are verifiable from credible public reporting. The top three players will be identified based on official results, and the market will settle accordingly. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and objective determination of the winning outcomes for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, unexpected tournament upsets, or changes in the competitive landscape could lead to shifts in the odds. Strong performances by certain players in preceding events, or even announcements about their strategies, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major announcements related to the competition itself, such as rule changes or venue adjustments, could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.