TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.9b

24H VOL:

$98,273,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,605,299,299

484,869

Markets across

36,635

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Timberwolves vs. Thunder
polymarket
kalshi

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

Volume:
$8,258,908

Oklahoma City

 - Kalshi

Oklahoma City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,138,396
N/A
N/A
$2,704,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 212.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,069,968
N/A
N/A
$2,382,224
Settled
No
polymarket

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 225.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 226.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cason Wallace: Points O/U 8.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 6.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 68

Description

This event group covers the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder scheduled for March 15, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology (both outcomes resolve to Yes), rendering it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are well-formed with clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market—it is logically broken. Trade only Polymarket markets. For all markets, resolution is determined by the final official NBA box score on NBA.com, including all overtime periods. If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All 132 markets feature clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Moneyline resolves to Timberwolves or Thunder based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (e.g., Thunder -8.5 requires 9+ point win). Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined points. Player props resolve Yes/No based on individual stat thresholds. All specify overtime inclusion, postponement (remain open), and cancellation (50-50). Source: Official NBA.com box score.
  • Kalshi: Single market states: 'If Minnesota wins...resolve Yes. If Oklahoma City wins...resolve Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market a tautology. The market is unresolvable because there is no outcome that resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.