TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
Volume:
$13,693,133
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Detroit wins OR Minnesota wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Timberwolves vs. Pistons, spread thresholds, over/under totals).Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result, making it unsuitable for trading. Use Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets (spreads, totals, player props) for reliable settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Detroit wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Minnesota wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates basic binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket structures all markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline resolves to 'Timberwolves' if Timberwolves win, 'Pistons' if Pistons win, with clear tie-breaking rules (50-50 if postponed/canceled). Spreads, totals, and player props all follow consistent binary or ternary logic with no contradictions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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