TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Timberwolves vs. Pacers
Volume:
$5,204,352
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Indiana Pacers scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either outcome (Minnesota wins OR Indiana wins), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot fail to resolve YES. Polymarket's markets use standard binary or categorical resolution logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. This fundamental structural flaw in Kalshi makes those specific markets unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. All other markets (Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props) use standard resolution logic and are resolvable. If you must trade this event, use Polymarket's markets exclusively.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Minnesota wins...then resolves YES' AND 'If Indiana wins...then resolves YES', creating a tautology where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. This contradicts standard market logic. All other Kalshi markets (if any existed beyond the two moneyline entries) would follow normal resolution, but these two are fundamentally broken. Key quote: 'If Minnesota wins the Minnesota at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana wins the Minnesota at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 2) resolves to 'Timberwolves' if Timberwolves win, or 'Pacers' if Pacers win — mutually exclusive outcomes. All spreads, totals, and player props follow standard binary or threshold-based resolution. Key quote: 'If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to Timberwolves. If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to Pacers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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