TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box score as the single source of truth, consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), overtime inclusion, and player inactivity (No for props).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline markets resolve to the team with the higher final score (including overtime)
- Spread markets resolve based on the margin of victory; Timberwolves must win by the specified threshold (e.g., 2+ for -1.5, 3+ for -2.5, 4+ for -3.5); ties resolve to Lakers
- Total markets (Over/Under) resolve based on combined points; Over threshold is always one point higher than the stated line (e.g., 233.5 line resolves Over at 234+)
- Player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve based on individual statistics from the official box score; threshold is always strictly greater than the stated line (e.g., 20.5 line resolves Yes at 21+)
- Player props resolve to No if the player is listed as inactive or does not take the court
- First-half markets resolve on halftime score only; first-half ties resolve 50-50
- If game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed
- If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tie in full-game spread: If the final score is tied (e.g., after overtime), spread markets resolve to Lakers (the non-Timberwolves outcome)
- Tie at halftime: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spreads resolve to Lakers
- Player inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all their prop markets resolve to No
- Game postponement: All markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed on a later date
- Game cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final score is official on NBA.com, including all overtime periods. First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until completion. Canceled games resolve 50-50 immediately upon official cancellation notice.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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