TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Timberwolves vs. Heat
predict
polymarket

Who will win Timberwolves vs Heat?

Volume:
$609,716

1H O/U 113.5

 - Polymarket

1H O/U 113.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 10:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1H O/U 113.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 233.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 233.5

View
85%
Yes 85¢No 15¢
—
$4,752
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 230.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 230.5

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 237.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 237.5

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$4,753
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 231.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 231.5

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,209
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Timberwolves vs. Heat

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$368,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Timberwolves vs. Heat

View
99%
49%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$35,471
$49,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 234.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 234.5

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,205
$1,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -0.5

View
61%
Yes 61¢No 39¢
—
$24,673
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -1.5

View
55%
Yes 55¢No 45¢
—
$2,414
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Spread -3.5

View
56%
Yes 56¢No 44¢
—
$2,013
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Spread -2.5

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$2,354
$2,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Spread -4.5

View
9%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
—
$2,195
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first in the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Miami Heat on October 10th. Currently, the consensus probability favors “Timberwolves vs. Heat: Team to Score First” at 19.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NBA results as reported at https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 10th to see which team establishes early control and ultimately breaks the tie for first points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic based on official NBA game results and handle postponements and cancellations identically.Primary resolution logic: https://www.nba.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner of the game market resolves to the team with the highest final score, including overtime.
  • The 'first to score' market resolves to the team that scores the first point, including free throws.
  • The 'odd/even score' market resolves based on the total combined final score being odd or even, including overtime.
  • Postponed games will remain open until completed.
  • Canceled games (without a make-up game) will resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Game: While extremely rare, if a game ends in a tie (before overtime rules are applied), the market will likely resolve based on official NBA tie-breaking procedures, which may involve a shoot-out. The platform will likely follow the official NBA result.
  • No Score in Regulation: If no points are scored in regulation, the first point scored in overtime will determine the 'first to score' market.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official final score is reported by the NBA, typically within 24 hours of game completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Predict

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, both sources aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Timberwolves-Heat game, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive view.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Predict for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct trading patterns. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery – lower volume may result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on Polymarket and Predict can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations offer opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds on this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, especially as the game draws closer. Any information that alters perceptions of the Timberwolves’ or Heat’s chances of scoring first could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations.