TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Timberland PRO 200 Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Timberland PRO 200?

Volume:
$544,720

Jesse Love

 - Kalshi

Jesse Love - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 12:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jesse Love

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91,189
N/A
N/A
$55,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,748
N/A
N/A
$44,540
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,082
N/A
N/A
$40,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,306
N/A
N/A
$33,336
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,628
N/A
N/A
$33,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Brent Crews

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,147
N/A
N/A
$27,926
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Gray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,952
N/A
N/A
$23,521
Settled
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,683
N/A
N/A
$28,607
Settled
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,025
N/A
N/A
$22,720
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,236
N/A
N/A
$20,946
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,778
N/A
N/A
$20,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,486
N/A
N/A
$21,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,357
N/A
N/A
$16,797
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,457
N/A
N/A
$13,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Harrison Burton

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,770
N/A
N/A
$8,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,228
N/A
N/A
$8,228
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Thompson

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,977
N/A
N/A
$4,977
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Sanchez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,361
N/A
N/A
$2,361
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
$2,118
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Williams

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,709
N/A
N/A
$1,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Mosack

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,583
N/A
N/A
$1,583
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Clements

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
$867
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeb Burton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$804
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Green

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$711
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Finch

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
$388
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

The event determines which driver wins a major NASCAR race scheduled for October 17, 2026. The market resolves based on official race results, with specific conditions for cancellations or delays. Participants can bet on any listed driver's chances of securing the victory.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final results of the 2026 Timberland PRO 200 NASCAR race, which must be posted by NASCAR. A driver must finish first in the main race to trigger a "Yes" outcome for their respective market. If a driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, their market resolves to "No." If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Timberland PRO 200 market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, providing insight into what traders believe will happen. Currently, the total volume for this market is $542,129, with $476,092 traded in the last 24 hours. This data helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to the event.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment, making it a dynamic representation of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Timberland PRO 200 event, as determined by the event organizers and widely reported in reliable sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the final, verified result.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the competitors, such as injuries, changes in strategy, or unexpected performance in preliminary rounds, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about the event itself, like changes to the schedule or venue, could also have an impact. Finally, broader trends in the sport or related industries could influence how traders assess the probabilities of different outcomes.