TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tijuana vs Puebla
kalshi

What is the result of Tijuana vs Puebla?

Volume:
$1,834,389

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 1:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343,396
N/A
N/A
$198,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tijuana

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$787,047
N/A
N/A
$507,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Puebla

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$703,946
N/A
N/A
$452,544
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Tijuana will win its Liga MX soccer game against Puebla. Currently, Kalshi gives Tijuana a 45.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 40.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Tijuana vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 16, 2026, as the game’s start will begin the window for resolution and provide the first real-time data points for this market.

Kalshi

This event involves three markets resolving based on the result of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first market resolves to Yes if Tijuana wins the match, the second if Puebla wins, and the third if the match ends in a tie. All markets share common secondary rules: if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Liga MX match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $1,834,389. The 24-hour volume is $1,215,543, indicating recent trading activity. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations regarding the match's result.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, depending on how the market interprets the new data. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Liga MX match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liga MX match between Tijuana and Puebla, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Tijuana, a win for Puebla, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause significant movement. Major weather events impacting playing conditions could also shift expectations. Additionally, any substantial news related to team performance, coaching changes, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and late-breaking news are often key catalysts as the Oct 17, 2026 approaches.