TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Tigres vs Toluca: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tigres vs Toluca?

Volume:
$266,796

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:02 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,517
N/A
N/A
$76,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Tigres wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,849
N/A
N/A
$35,985
Settled
No
kalshi

Tigres wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,460
N/A
N/A
$24,339
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,518
N/A
N/A
$26,958
Settled
No
kalshi

Tigres wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,453
N/A
N/A
$9,353
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets determine the winner and the margin of victory for Tigres or Toluca, focusing solely on the difference in goals scored during the standard match duration.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the goal differential between Tigres and Toluca in their match on October 9, 2026. The first two markets resolve if Tigres wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, considering only goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. The latter two markets resolve if Toluca wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals under the same conditions. All markets evaluate the same match result but apply different victory margin thresholds and team-specific outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tigres vs Toluca match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. It displays a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. You can also view the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $255,479, and the total volume traded to date, which is $266,796. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public opinion than traditional betting venues.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Tigres vs Toluca match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Tigres vs Toluca match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.