TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tigres vs Toluca
kalshi

What is the result of Tigres vs Toluca?

Volume:
$5,201,936

Tigres

 - Kalshi

Tigres - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tigres

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,095,199
N/A
N/A
$534,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,111,510
N/A
N/A
$2,042,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$995,227
N/A
N/A
$621,448
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Tigres will win their Liga MX soccer game against Toluca. Currently, Kalshi gives Tigres a 57.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 27.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome – and therefore market resolution – will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on October 9, 2026.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match between Tigres and Toluca scheduled for October 9, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Tigres win, Toluca win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tigres vs Toluca match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $5,201,936. The 24-hour volume is $4,796,798, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential shifts in expectations leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Tigres vs Toluca match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information emerges that isn't yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tigres vs Toluca match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome—a Tigres win, a Toluca win, or a draw—occurs during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the verified result.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions affecting the match could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements from either club, or significant changes in public perception based on pre-match analysis, could also drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a Tigres win, a Toluca win, or a draw has the potential to impact this market.