TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Tigres versus Leon Liga MX soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match, as reported by the official game statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 21, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Tigres vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all resolutions. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), with each market having its own threshold. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate a perceived mispricing that traders are attempting to exploit, or differing opinions on the likelihood of various goal totals.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Tigres vs Leon match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the match concludes and the official data is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tigres or Leon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can shift the market, reflecting changing sentiment among traders.