TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:12 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether Tigres or Leon wins the match by a margin greater than specified goal differences, calculated after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Tigres or Leon wins the professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The first two markets resolve 'Yes' if Tigres wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets resolve 'Yes' if Leon wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. As with the total goals markets, Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, or from unique information held by traders in this market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. You can view the order book depth to see the current bids and asks, providing insight into where traders believe value lies in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Tigres vs Leon match as reported by official sources. The specific spread value that determines the winning contract will be determined by the market’s design. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts were settled in their favor shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tigres or Leon squads would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions expected during the match could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-game analysis, could also cause the price to move.