TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:12 AM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time awarded at the end of each half. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Tigres and Leon both score a goal in the Tigres vs Leon Liga MX match originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likelihood of that outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Tigres and Leon will score during the match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Tigres and Leon score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for traders holding contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tigres or Leon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, regardless of external factors.