TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the Tigres vs Leon Liga MX soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Currently, Kalshi gives Leon a 50.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 29.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game as determined by the Liga MX governing body. Traders should watch for the outcome of the match itself, with resolution expected following the game’s conclusion on October 21, 2026, which is the estimated date for determining the winner.
The market resolves based on the result of the Tigres vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Tigres wins, the 'Tigres' market resolves to Yes. If Leon wins, the 'Leon' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs and insights, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional sources. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not readily quantifiable. It's a fascinating comparison to see how crowd-sourced predictions stack up against professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tigres vs Leon match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The exact details of the match result will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and is independent of any single source.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Kalshi could create noticeable price movements. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and the overall trading volume will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.