TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:00h:33m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Mexico's top league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The market covers all possible results of the match.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, between Tigres and Cruz Azul, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a Tigres win, a Cruz Azul win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the teams finish level after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform procedures. The resolution strictly considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Tigres vs Cruz Azul match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Tigres vs Cruz Azul match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what it costs to own a contract that pays out if a specific result happens in the match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tigres vs Cruz Azul match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome—a Tigres win, a Cruz Azul win, or a draw—occurs, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when and how this market settles.
Several signals could significantly impact the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tigres or Cruz Azul would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.