TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Zhejiang Lions
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 10h:34m:00s
$
This group forecasts the winner of a single China CBA basketball game between the Tianjin Pioneers and the Zhejiang Lions, scheduled for November 3rd. The markets resolve to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled and no makeup game is scheduled.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the Zhejiang Lions win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between the Zhejiang Lions and the Tianjin Pioneers, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 6:35 AM EST. If the Tianjin Pioneers win the game, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Zhejiang Lions’ market resolves to No. Conversely, if the Zhejiang Lions win, their market resolves to Yes, and the Tianjin Pioneers’ market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the official result once the game concludes. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the Zhejiang Lions win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for setting and adjusting odds differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to discrepancies. These differences in user composition, volume, and market mechanics can result in varying probabilities for the same event, even when tracking the same underlying outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Tianjin Pioneers versus Zhejiang Lions game as reported by official league sources. The winning team, as determined by the official game results, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and the declared winner to understand the resolution of this market.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies for either the Tianjin Pioneers or Zhejiang Lions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception, could also drive movement. Furthermore, major announcements related to the Chinese basketball league itself, such as rule changes or playoff implications, could impact trader sentiment and alter the odds reflected in this market.