TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between the Tianjin Pioneers and the Xinjiang Flying Tigers in China's CBA league. The result depends solely on which team wins the match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines.
If Xinjiang Flying Tigers wins the Tianjin Pioneers vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tianjin Pioneers wins the Tianjin Pioneers vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information and insights not readily available to sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, and traders constantly adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic process aims to converge towards a fair and accurate assessment of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tianjin Pioneers versus Xinjiang Flying Tigers game within the Chinese Basketball Association playoffs. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and authoritative sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted according to the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Tianjin Pioneers or the Xinjiang Flying Tigers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through media coverage could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about game location or format could also move the market. Furthermore, any major upsets in other playoff games could shift perceptions of team strength and impact the odds for this specific matchup.