TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Thunder vs. Suns
Volume:
$11,155,854
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi cover different market types (Polymarket includes player props and half-game markets; Kalshi focuses on spread tiers only) and use slightly different spread threshold language. Polymarket spreads resolve on win-by thresholds (e.g., 10+ for -9.5); Kalshi uses "more than X points" which is mathematically equivalent but creates potential for trader confusion.Hero Tip:
For spread markets, confirm the exact threshold: Polymarket -9.5 (Thunder win by 10+) aligns with Kalshi OKC >9.5 points. Do not assume direct 1:1 mapping between platforms. Player prop markets exist only on Polymarket; Kalshi has no player prop equivalent. If trading spreads cross-platform, use Kalshi's granular tiers (3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5, 24.5) as reference points and verify Polymarket's corresponding spread before execution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive market suite: 2 moneylines (full game, 1H), 3 spreads (full game -9.5, 1H -5.5), 2 totals (O/U 214.5, 215.5), 1H total (O/U 104.5), and 36 player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists for SGA, Booker, Green, Holmgren, Brooks, Dort, Williams, Hartenstein, Ighodaro, Gillespie). All player props include inactivity clause: resolves No if player does not take court. Source: Official NBA box score on NBA.com. Cancellation: 50-50 split if no make-up game.
- Kalshi: Spread-only market suite: 10 markets covering OKC and Phoenix wins by margins >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5, >24.5 points. No player props, no half-game markets, no moneylines. No inactivity clauses or cancellation provisions specified. Source: Game result as of April 25, 2026 (original scheduled date).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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