TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:23 AM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Thunder vs. Mavericks.
Exact margin markets for Thunder vs. Mavericks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final point difference between the Thunder and the Mavericks. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe the Thunder will win by a certain margin, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Thunder versus Mavericks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential will be used to determine which shares payout, and at what rate, based on the margin specified in the market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is available. The market will then close, and no further trading will be permitted.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Thunder or the Mavericks would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player availability, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to movement in the Thunder-Mavericks margin market before Oct 29, 2026.