TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Thunder vs. Mavericks - Exact Margin
polymarket

What is the result of Thunder vs. Mavericks?

Volume:
$10

Other

 - Polymarket

Other - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 12:23 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Other

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Thunder by 1-5

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Thunder by 6-10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Thunder by 11-15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Thunder by 16-20

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Thunder by 21+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Mavericks by 1-5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Mavericks by 6-10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Mavericks by 11-15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Mavericks by 16-20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Mavericks by 21+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

Exact margin markets for Thunder vs. Mavericks.

Polymarket

Exact margin markets for Thunder vs. Mavericks.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's pricing is driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final point difference between the Thunder and the Mavericks. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe the Thunder will win by a certain margin, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Thunder versus Mavericks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential will be used to determine which shares payout, and at what rate, based on the margin specified in the market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is available. The market will then close, and no further trading will be permitted.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Thunder or the Mavericks would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player availability, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to movement in the Thunder-Mavericks margin market before Oct 29, 2026.