TOTAL VOLUME:

$138.5b

24H VOL:

$114,060,923

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,511,311,155

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,557,428,866

473,619

Markets across

36,594

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,899

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Thunder vs. Lakers
kalshi
polymarket

Thunder vs. Lakers

Volume:
$13,672,543

Oklahoma City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 8, 2026

Closed: Apr 8, 1:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,472,539
N/A
N/A
$2,624,625
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Thunder vs. Lakers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,956,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$435,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$255,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 109.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 107.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 108.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods, with the winning team determining the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Thunder win OR Lakers win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Thunder, Lakers, or specific conditions). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero tip: Do NOT trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It violates basic logical consistency by resolving YES regardless of who wins. All other markets (spreads, player props, totals) on both platforms appear structurally sound. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's clearly defined outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If Los Angeles L wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oklahoma City wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Los Angeles L wins the Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes for the moneyline ('If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to Thunder. If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers.') and includes proper contingency rules for postponement and cancellation. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) follow standard, logically consistent resolution frameworks. Key quote: 'If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to Thunder. If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.