TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 12 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 12 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each venue uses different methodologies and responds to different information flows.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date beliefs of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thunder vs. Hawks game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result. Keep in mind that the market may remain open for a short period after the event concludes to allow for official confirmation and processing.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or significant team performance updates would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or even weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react quickly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.