TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Thun vs Lugano: Spread
kalshi

Thun vs Lugano: Spread

Volume:
$7,610

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,777
N/A
N/A
$3,387
Settled
No
kalshi

Thun wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
$983
Settled
No
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
No
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

Thun wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a Swiss Super League soccer match between Thun and Lugano, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Thun vs Lugano Swiss Super League match scheduled for October 25, 2026, based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins: Thun winning by more than 2.5 goals, Thun winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lugano winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Lugano winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met. All markets are independent, meaning the occurrence of one does not affect the others. The governing body for the match is the Swiss Super League, and Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.