TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Thun and Hajduk, focusing on whether the combined score exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final count of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Thun vs Hajduk Conference League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals from both teams exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty phases. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are dependent on the resolution of another. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the number of goals. These traders consider a wider range of information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available. This market may offer a different perspective on the likely outcome than traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Thun vs Hajduk match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likely goal total. The goal is to converge on a price that accurately represents the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Thun vs Hajduk match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match – including any own goals or goals scored during extra time, if applicable – will determine the winning contract. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Thun or Hajduk would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the prices. Any significant event impacting the perceived scoring potential of either team is likely to move this market.