TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Conference League match between Thun and Hajduk on October 22, 2026, analysts will watch for both teams finding the back of the net within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome hinges on whether each side manages to score at least one goal during regular play.
If Thun and Hajduk both score a goal in the Thun vs Hajduk Conference League match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional bookmakers, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Thun vs Hajduk match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Thun and Hajduk score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the match’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Thun or Hajduk would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely move this market.