TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Conference League soccer match between Thun and Hajduk scheduled for October 22, 2026. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Thun vs Hajduk Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Thun, a win for Hajduk, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by participant predictions, theoretically reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more traders participate, potentially offering a more refined forecast. It’s common to see differences emerge as new developments unfold.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the confidence levels surrounding each possibility. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thun vs Hajduk match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Furthermore, the performance of the teams in their preceding matches and any strategic announcements made by the clubs are likely to impact how traders assess the probabilities, leading to fluctuations in the market.