TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:53 AM EST
Kalshi
In an esports competition, two teams face off in a strategic video game battle over a specific map. The match outcome is determined by which team's performance meets the map's victory conditions first.
Markets resolve based on which team wins the specified map in the scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, markets resolve to a fair price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to news and shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own beliefs and the market price, effectively betting on their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Warriors vs. Yellow Submarine match, as reported by a trusted source. The platform will verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of the resolution may depend on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team performance, player injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and news coverage, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly impact trading behavior. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Warriors vs. Yellow Submarine match.