TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
The same two teams face off in the same tournament, but this market centers on the result of the first map of their encounter on the same date. The outcome determines which team secures an early lead in the series.
If The Warriors wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: The Warriors vs. Nemiga Gaming Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nemiga Gaming wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: The Warriors vs. Nemiga Gaming Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the different incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that attract balanced betting, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present potential value opportunities for informed traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a highly liquid and efficient market for predicting the result of map 1.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of map 1 in the Warriors vs. Nemiga Gaming match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against official game results and publicly available data to ensure accuracy. Traders who hold the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This provides a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for the Warriors or Nemiga Gaming could significantly impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within map 1 itself, could also cause shifts in the market. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament format or venue could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the outcome is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.