TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a specific Dota 2 match between The Warriors and Nemiga Gaming scheduled for October 17, 2026. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory in their respective qualifying event prior to the match. If either team wins their designated qualifier, the market resolves accordingly.
The market resolves based on the victory of either The Warriors or Nemiga Gaming in their respective EPL Masters Play-In 2026 qualifying matches. If The Warriors win their qualifier, the market resolves to Yes for The Warriors; if Nemiga Gaming wins theirs, it resolves to Yes for Nemiga Gaming. If the scheduled match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If play starts and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows participants to publicly signal their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market traders compared to sportsbook oddsmakers. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and efficient price discovery. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, thus driving the market towards a consensus probability.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Warriors vs. Nemiga Gaming match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will look to official sources to verify the final score and declare the winner. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in team form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical adjustments would likely cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect trader confidence and impact the price of contracts in this market.