TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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The Citadel vs. VMI
🌟New
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of The Citadel vs. VMI?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$58
0%
Open interest:
$0
0%

The Citadel

 - Kalshi

The Citadel - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:16h:44m

The Citadel wins

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Citadel

Trade
14%
Yes 87¢No 61¢
48¢
N/A
$0
0%
N/A
$0
1w 4d 16h
Active
kalshi

VMI

Trade
N/A
N/A
47¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

The Citadel vs. VMI

Trade
78%
Yes 99¢No 44¢
43¢
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 98¢No 99¢
97¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 49.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 51.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 53.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 55.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 57.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 59.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
polymarket

O/U 61.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 13h
Active
Total markets: 22

Description

This group covers markets related to the college football game between The Citadel and VMI, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets include predicting the winner, point spreads, and the total combined score of the game. All markets share a common cancellation/abandonment clause.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers granular point spread markets, while Kalshi offers a simple winner-takes-all market. This creates SKU risk and differing levels of granularity.Hero tip: Prioritize the Kalshi market for a straightforward outcome (who wins), and avoid the Polymarket spread markets due to their complexity and potential for conflicting signals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers multiple markets based on different point spreads for both teams. Resolution depends on the final margin of victory. Example: 'The Citadel' if they win by 15+ points.
  • Kalshi: Offers a single market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins the game. Does not consider the margin of victory. "If VMI wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If The Citadel wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between The Citadel and VMI, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "The Citadel" if The Citadel win the game. This market will resolve to "VMI" if VMI win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the college football game between The Citadel and VMI scheduled for November 14, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Citadel vs. VMI game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. Polymarket currently favors The Citadel vs. VMI: O/U 49.5 at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward The Citadel wins at 14.0%. The dashboard allows users to compare these probabilities and trading volume across both venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Citadel vs. VMI game, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks may have access to specialized information, such as injury reports, that isn’t immediately reflected in this market. Both offer valuable insights, but represent distinct approaches to forecasting the game’s outcome.

Prices for the Citadel vs. VMI game may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a variety of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and market-making algorithms, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity on each platform can create temporary price discrepancies. The volume of $0 is distributed between the platforms, and imbalances can lead to price variations. Finally, differing interpretations of available information by traders on each platform can also contribute to these price differences, even if they are analyzing the same data.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Citadel vs. VMI game, as reported by official sources, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the verified outcome and how it aligns with their predictions. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available information following the conclusion of the game.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about game conditions, such as weather forecasts, might also cause shifts in probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and influence prices. Public opinion and media coverage surrounding the game could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.