TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the margin of victory for Texas A&M in their upcoming college football game against The Citadel. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold that Texas A&M must exceed to settle contracts. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether Texas A&M defeats The Citadel by a margin exceeding the specified point threshold in their game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likely spread. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If significant differences emerge, arbitrage opportunities may present themselves, as traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook lines as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Citadel vs Texas A&M game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the Citadel will cover a particular spread, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Citadel vs Texas A&M football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0.00. The market will close prior to the event to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Citadel or Texas A&M could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, might also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information released, such as updated team statistics or expert analysis, could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations.