TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for one team's performance. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, regardless of any delays or changes to the schedule within a defined timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by either Texas or Oklahoma in the college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., Oklahoma over 2.5 points, Texas over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on unique information or sentiment within the prediction market. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe they have an edge or a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game. It’s a good practice to compare both to get a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total score ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the eventual team totals and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Texas and Oklahoma will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams during the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final score calculation. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds, as would any major changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the game. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can impact the market, particularly if there’s a significant shift in the perceived strengths or weaknesses of either team. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.