TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during an upcoming college football game. It focuses specifically on offensive plays where a player gains points by catching a ball in the end zone, excluding other types of scoring plays.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by either Texas or Oklahoma in their game scheduled for October 10, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown where the player who catches the pass scores himself; touchdowns where another player recovers a fumble and scores do not count, unless the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows participants to openly trade based on their individual insights and information. As a result, the price here can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the potential for touchdowns in the Texas vs Oklahoma matchup. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a team scoring a touchdown. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as buyers and sellers interact, constantly refining the probability based on the collective intelligence of the participants. This creates a real-time forecast of touchdown scoring in the Red River game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether each team scores at least one touchdown during the Texas vs Oklahoma football game. The official game results will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are officially verified. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage can play a role, shifting sentiment and driving price fluctuations. Any late-breaking information related to the Texas vs Oklahoma game has the potential to move this market considerably.