TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Texas wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Texas wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:15h:08m
$
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, enabling a range of betting options based on expected performance.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Texas vs Missouri college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For markets where Texas wins by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Texas’s victory exceeds that margin. Conversely, markets where Missouri wins by a specified margin resolve if Missouri’s victory exceeds the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome conditions outlined in individual markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, prices will adjust accordingly, offering opportunities for traders to profit from correctly anticipating changes in probability. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Texas vs Missouri game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed. This market will close prior to the event’s completion, preventing further trading.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas or Missouri would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators can also indirectly influence trading activity and, therefore, the market price.