TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:00h:52m
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This prediction group centers around the college football game between Texas and Missouri, scheduled for November 7th. Markets cover the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals for points and team performance, and various in-game events like touchdowns and field goals.
In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Missouri, scheduled for November 7 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either Texas or Missouri wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Missouri, scheduled for November 7 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform might vary – for example, one might focus on the point spread while the other focuses on the outright winner. These differences in market structure and participant behavior can create price discrepancies, presenting opportunities for arbitrage traders to profit from the inefficiencies.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Texas vs. Missouri game, as reported by official sources, will determine the outcome. The platform will verify the final score and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses to understand how this market is likely to settle.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. News reports regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements, as traders react to the collective wisdom (or sentiment) of the crowd.