TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being met or exceeded.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Texas Tech and Cincinnati in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market specifying a team scoring over a certain threshold (e.g., Cincinnati over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes' if the team's actual points exceed that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate a perceived mispricing or differing expectations about the event’s outcome. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both reflecting updated information and analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different possible team total scores for Texas Tech. The current price of a contract indicates the probability that the Texas Tech team total will fall within the range represented by that contract. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, news, and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives to arrive at a collective prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas Tech or Cincinnati would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price adjustments. Finally, large shifts in public sentiment, even without concrete news, can influence trading activity and therefore the price of contracts in this market.