TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati. It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods.
If Cincinnati wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks establish odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may move independently of sportsbook adjustments, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely winner of the 4th quarter. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the result. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative forecast of the 4th quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas Tech or Cincinnati would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant in-game performance during the earlier quarters of the game, or even pre-game news about coaching strategies, could all impact trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments on Kalshi. Public perception and analyst predictions, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trading activity.