TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can evaluate.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. For each market, if the cumulative points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. All markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct point threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring—in this case, the total points scored in the 4th quarter falling within a specific range. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor. The platform will then verify the result against official sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Trading will cease once the outcome is known and verified, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas Tech or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.