TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover a range of possible point differentials to reflect different levels of victory for either team.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. For Texas Tech markets, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified point margin; for Cincinnati markets, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation with the NCAA is claimed, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and risk management, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, as the market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, these differences may narrow as new information becomes available and more traders participate. Keep in mind that prediction markets are forward-looking, reflecting expectations for the final outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, signaling a growing belief that it will be the final result. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half spread of the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses, relying solely on the actual game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas Tech or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also prompt traders to adjust their positions. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.